New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2022
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| New Mexico's 1st Congressional District |
|---|
| Democratic primary Republican primary General election |
| Election details |
| Filing deadline: March 24, 2022 |
| Primary: June 7, 2022 General: November 8, 2022 |
| How to vote |
| Poll times: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voting in New Mexico |
| Race ratings |
Cook Political Report: Solid Democratic Inside Elections: Solid Democratic Sabato's Crystal Ball: Likely Democratic |
| Ballotpedia analysis |
| U.S. Senate battlegrounds U.S. House battlegrounds Federal and state primary competitiveness Ballotpedia's Election Analysis Hub, 2022 |
| See also |
1st • 2nd • 3rd New Mexico elections, 2022 U.S. Congress elections, 2022 U.S. Senate elections, 2022 U.S. House elections, 2022 |
All U.S. House districts, including the 1st Congressional District of New Mexico, held elections in 2022. The general election was on November 8, 2022. The primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. The filing deadline was March 24, 2022.
The outcome of this race affected the partisan balance of the U.S. House of Representatives in the 118th Congress. All 435 House districts were up for election.
Republicans won a 222-213 majority in the U.S. House in 2022.
Daily Kos calculated what the results of the 2020 presidential election in this district would have been following redistricting. Joe Biden (D) would have received 55.9% of the vote in this district and Donald Trump (R) would have received 41.5%.[1]
For more information about the primaries in this election, click on the links below:
- New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Democratic primary)
- New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 (June 7 Republican primary)
Candidates and election results
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Melanie Ann Stansbury defeated Michelle Garcia Holmes and Victoria Gonzales in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on November 8, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Melanie Ann Stansbury (D) | 55.7 | 156,462 | |
| Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) | 44.2 | 124,151 | ||
| Victoria Gonzales (Independent) | 0.0 | 58 | ||
| Total votes: 280,671 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cameron Chick (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Melanie Ann Stansbury advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Melanie Ann Stansbury | 100.0 | 44,223 | |
| Total votes: 44,223 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Sheridan Lund (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Michelle Garcia Holmes defeated Louie Sanchez in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 7, 2022.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Michelle Garcia Holmes | 58.7 | 25,822 | |
Louie Sanchez ![]() | 41.3 | 18,171 | ||
| Total votes: 43,993 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Jacquelyn Reeve (R)
- Elisa Martinez (R)
- Joshua Neal (R)
Voting information
- See also: Voting in New Mexico
Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey responses
Ballotpedia asks all federal, state, and local candidates to complete a survey and share what motivates them on political and personal levels. Candidates are asked three required questions for this survey, but they may answer additional optional questions as well.
No candidate in this race completed Ballotpedia's Candidate Connection survey.
Campaign finance
This section contains campaign finance figures from the Federal Election Commission covering all candidate fundraising and spending in this election.[2] It does not include information on fundraising before the current campaign cycle or on spending by satellite groups. The numbers in this section are updated as candidates file new campaign finance reports. Candidates for Congress are required to file financial reports on a quarterly basis, as well as two weeks before any primary, runoff, or general election in which they will be on the ballot and upon the termination of any campaign committees.[3] Click here to view the reporting schedule for candidates for U.S. Congress in 2022.
| U.S. Congress campaign reporting schedule, 2022 | ||
|---|---|---|
| Report | Close of books | Filing deadline |
| Year-end 2021 | 12/31/2021 | 1/31/2022 |
| April quarterly | 3/31/2022 | 4/15/2022 |
| July quarterly | 6/30/2022 | 7/15/2022 |
| October quarterly | 9/30/2022 | 10/15/2022 |
| Pre-general | 10/19/2022 | 10/27/2022 |
| Post-general | 11/28/2022 | 12/08/2022 |
| Year-end 2022 | 12/31/2022 | 1/31/2023 |
| Name | Party | Receipts* | Disbursements** | Cash on hand | Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Melanie Ann Stansbury | Democratic Party | $3,570,363 | $3,610,145 | $11,341 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Michelle Garcia Holmes | Republican Party | $391,732 | $401,737 | $1,699 | As of December 31, 2022 |
| Louie Sanchez | Republican Party | $174,207 | $174,207 | $0 | As of June 30, 2022 |
| Victoria Gonzales | Independent | $0 | $0 | $0 | Data not available*** |
|
Source: Federal Elections Commission, "Campaign finance data," 2022. This product uses the openFEC API but is not endorsed or certified by the Federal Election Commission (FEC).
* According to the FEC, "Receipts are anything of value (money, goods, services or property) received by a political committee." |
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General election race ratings
- See also: Race rating definitions and methods
Ballotpedia provides race ratings from four outlets: The Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and DDHQ/The Hill. Each race rating indicates if one party is perceived to have an advantage in the race and, if so, the degree of advantage:
- Safe and Solid ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge and the race is not competitive.
- Likely ratings indicate that one party has a clear edge, but an upset is possible.
- Lean ratings indicate that one party has a small edge, but the race is competitive.[4]
- Toss-up ratings indicate that neither party has an advantage.
Race ratings are informed by a number of factors, including polling, candidate quality, and election result history in the race's district or state.[5][6][7]
| Race ratings: New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2022 | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Race tracker | Race ratings | ||||||||
| November 8, 2022 | November 1, 2022 | October 25, 2022 | October 18, 2022 | ||||||
| The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | Solid Democratic | |||||
| Larry J. Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | Likely Democratic | |||||
| Note: Ballotpedia reviews external race ratings every week throughout the election season and posts weekly updates even if the media outlets have not revised their ratings during that week. | |||||||||
Ballot access requirements
The table below details filing requirements for U.S. House candidates in New Mexico in the 2022 election cycle. For additional information on candidate ballot access requirements in New Mexico, click here.
| Filing requirements for U.S. House candidates, 2022 | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| State | Office | Party | Signatures required | Filing fee | Filing deadline | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Ballot-qualified party | 2% of votes cast for all the party's gubernatorial candidates in the last primary election (within the district) | N/A | 3/8/2022 | Source |
| New Mexico | U.S. House | Unaffiliated | 3% of all votes cast for governor in the last election (within the district) | N/A | 6/30/2022 | Source |
District analysis
Click the tabs below to view information about voter composition, past elections, and demographics in both the district and the state.
- District map - A map of the district before and after redistricting.
- Effect of redistricting - How districts in the state changed as a result of redistricting following the 2020 census.
- Competitiveness - Information about the competitiveness of 2022 U.S. House elections in the state.
- Presidential elections - Information about presidential elections in the district and the state.
- Demographics - Information about the state's demographics and how they compare to the country as a whole.
- State party control - The partisan makeup of the state's congressional delegation and state government.
District map
Below was the map in use at the time of the election, enacted as part of the 2020 redistricting cycle, compared to the map in place before the election.
New Mexico District 1
until January 2, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
New Mexico District 1
starting January 3, 2023
Click a district to compare boundaries.
Effect of redistricting
The table below details the results of the 2020 presidential election in each district at the time of the 2022 election and its political predecessor district.[8] This data was compiled by Daily Kos Elections.[9]
| 2020 presidential results by Congressional district, New Mexico | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| District | 2022 district | Political predecessor district | ||
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump |
Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |
| New Mexico's 1st | 55.9% | 41.5% | 60.2% | 37.4% |
| New Mexico's 2nd | 51.9% | 46.1% | 43.1% | 54.9% |
| New Mexico's 3rd | 54.4% | 43.6% | 57.7% | 40.1% |
Competitiveness
This section contains data on U.S. House primary election competitiveness in New Mexico.
Post-filing deadline analysis
The following analysis covers all U.S. House districts up for election in New Mexico in 2022. Information below was calculated on May 20, 2022, and may differ from information shown in the table above due to candidate replacements and withdrawals after that time.
Eight candidates filed to run for New Mexico’s three U.S. House districts, including four Democrats and four Republicans. That’s 2.67 candidates per district, less than the 6.3 candidates per district in 2020 and the five in 2018.
This was the first election to take place under new district lines following the 2020 census. New Mexico was apportioned three districts, the same number it was apportioned after the 2010 census. The eight candidates who filed to run this year were the fewest candidates running for New Mexico's U.S. House seats since 2016, when seven candidates filed.
All three incumbents filed to run for re-election, meaning there were no open seats. There were two contested primaries this year, the fewest since 2016, when there was one contested primary.
Candidates filed to run in the Republican and Democratic primaries in all three districts, so no seats were guaranteed to either party. No incumbents faced primary challengers this year. The last year an incumbent was in a contested primary was 2014, when then-incumbent Rep. Ben Ray Lujan (D) and Robert Blanch ran in the 3rd Congressional District.
Presidential elections
Partisan Voter Index
Heading into the 2022 elections, based on results from the 2020 and 2016 presidential elections, the Cook Partisan Voter Index for this district was D+5. This meant that in those two presidential elections, this district's results were 5 percentage points more Democratic than the national average. This made New Mexico's 1st the 167th most Democratic district nationally.[10]
2020 presidential election results
The table below shows what the vote in the 2020 presidential election would have been in this district. The presidential election data was compiled by Daily Kos.
| 2020 presidential results in New Mexico's 1st based on 2022 district lines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Biden |
Donald Trump | |||
| 55.9% | 41.5% | |||
Presidential voting history
New Mexico presidential election results (1900-2020)
- 16 Democratic wins
- 12 Republican wins
| Year | 1900 | 1904 | 1908 | 1912 | 1916 | 1920 | 1924 | 1928 | 1932 | 1936 | 1940 | 1944 | 1948 | 1952 | 1956 | 1960 | 1964 | 1968 | 1972 | 1976 | 1980 | 1984 | 1988 | 1992 | 1996 | 2000 | 2004 | 2008 | 2012 | 2016 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winning Party | N/A | N/A | N/A | D | D | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | R | D | D | D | D |
Demographics
The table below details demographic data in New Mexico and compares it to the broader United States as of 2019.
| Demographic Data for New Mexico | ||
|---|---|---|
| New Mexico | United States | |
| Population | 2,117,522 | 331,449,281 |
| Land area (sq mi) | 121,312 | 3,531,905 |
| Race and ethnicity** | ||
| White | 70% | 70.4% |
| Black/African American | 2.1% | 12.6% |
| Asian | 1.6% | 5.6% |
| Native American | 9.3% | 0.8% |
| Pacific Islander | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Other (single race) | 8.8% | 5.1% |
| Multiple | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Hispanic/Latino | 49.2% | 18.2% |
| Education | ||
| High school graduation rate | 86.5% | 88.5% |
| College graduation rate | 28.1% | 32.9% |
| Income | ||
| Median household income | $51,243 | $64,994 |
| Persons below poverty level | 18.6% | 12.8% |
| Source: population provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "Decennial Census" (2020). Other figures provided by U.S. Census Bureau, "American Community Survey" (5-year estimates 2015-2020). | ||
| **Note: Percentages for race and ethnicity may add up to more than 100 percent because respondents may report more than one race and the Hispanic/Latino ethnicity may be selected in conjunction with any race. Read more about race and ethnicity in the census here. | ||
State party control
Congressional delegation
The table below displays the partisan composition of New Mexico's congressional delegation as of November 2022.
| Congressional Partisan Breakdown from New Mexico, November 2022 | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Party | U.S. Senate | U.S. House | Total |
| Democratic | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Republican | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Independent | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Vacancies | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Total | 2 | 3 | 5 |
State executive
The table below displays the officeholders in New Mexico's top four state executive offices as of November 2022.
| State executive officials in New Mexico, November 2022 | |
|---|---|
| Office | Officeholder |
| Governor | |
| Lieutenant Governor | |
| Secretary of State | |
| Attorney General | |
State legislature
The tables below highlight the partisan composition of the New Mexico State Legislature as of November 2022.
New Mexico State Senate
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 26 | |
| Republican Party | 15 | |
| Independent | 0 | |
| Vacancies | 1 | |
| Total | 42 | |
New Mexico House of Representatives
| Party | As of November 2022 | |
|---|---|---|
| Democratic Party | 45 | |
| Republican Party | 24 | |
| Independent | 1 | |
| Vacancies | 0 | |
| Total | 70 | |
Trifecta control
As of November 2022, New Mexico was a Democratic trifecta, with majorities in both chambers of the state legislature and control of the governorship. The table below displays the historical trifecta status of the state.
New Mexico Party Control: 1992-2022
Fifteen years of Democratic trifectas • No Republican trifectas
Scroll left and right on the table below to view more years.
| Year | 92 | 93 | 94 | 95 | 96 | 97 | 98 | 99 | 00 | 01 | 02 | 03 | 04 | 05 | 06 | 07 | 08 | 09 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Governor | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | R | D | D | D | D |
| Senate | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D |
| House | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | D | R | R | D | D | D | D | D | D |
District history
2020
See also: New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2020
New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Republican primary)
New Mexico's 1st Congressional District election, 2020 (June 2 Democratic primary)
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Debra Haaland defeated Michelle Garcia Holmes in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on November 3, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Debra Haaland (D) | 58.2 | 186,953 | |
Michelle Garcia Holmes (R) ![]() | 41.8 | 134,337 | ||
| Total votes: 321,290 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cameron Chick (Independent)
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Incumbent Debra Haaland advanced from the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Debra Haaland | 100.0 | 83,032 | |
| Total votes: 83,032 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- Cameron Chick (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Michelle Garcia Holmes defeated Jared Vander Dussen and Brett Kokinadis in the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 2, 2020.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Michelle Garcia Holmes ![]() | 48.1 | 23,783 | |
| Jared Vander Dussen | 40.2 | 19,847 | ||
Brett Kokinadis ![]() | 11.7 | 5,798 | ||
| Total votes: 49,428 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2018
General election
General election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Debra Haaland defeated Janice Arnold-Jones and Lloyd Princeton in the general election for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on November 6, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Debra Haaland (D) | 59.1 | 147,336 | |
Janice Arnold-Jones (R) ![]() | 36.3 | 90,507 | ||
| Lloyd Princeton (L) | 4.5 | 11,319 | ||
| Total votes: 249,162 (100.00% precincts reporting) | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Democratic primary election
Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
The following candidates ran in the Democratic primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Debra Haaland | 40.6 | 25,444 | |
| Damon Martinez | 25.8 | 16,182 | ||
| Antoinette Sedillo Lopez | 20.6 | 12,919 | ||
| Paul Moya | 5.9 | 3,691 | ||
| Patrick Davis | 3.8 | 2,385 | ||
| Damian Lara | 3.3 | 2,063 | ||
| Total votes: 62,684 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Withdrawn or disqualified candidates
- John Abrams (D)
- John Flores (D)
- Jesse Heitner (D)
Republican primary election
Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Janice Arnold-Jones advanced from the Republican primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Janice Arnold-Jones ![]() | 100.0 | 19,316 | |
| Total votes: 19,316 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
Libertarian primary election
Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1
Lloyd Princeton advanced from the Libertarian primary for U.S. House New Mexico District 1 on June 5, 2018.
Candidate | % | Votes | ||
| ✔ | Lloyd Princeton | 100.0 | 244 | |
| Total votes: 244 | ||||
= candidate completed the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection survey. | ||||
| If you are a candidate and would like to tell readers and voters more about why they should vote for you, complete the Ballotpedia Candidate Connection Survey. | ||||
Do you want a spreadsheet of this type of data? Contact our sales team. | ||||
2016
Heading into the election, Ballotpedia rated this race as safely Democratic. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) defeated Richard Priem in the general election on November 8, 2016. Neither candidate faced a primary opponent in June.[11]
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 65.1% | 181,088 | ||
| Republican | Richard Priem | 34.9% | 96,879 | |
| Total Votes | 277,967 | |||
| Source: New Mexico Secretary of State | ||||
|
Primary candidates:[12] |
|
Democratic |
Republican |
2014
The 1st Congressional District of New Mexico held an election for the U.S. House of Representatives on November 4, 2014. Incumbent Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) defeated Mike Frese (R) in the general election.
| Party | Candidate | Vote % | Votes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Democratic | 58.6% | 105,474 | ||
| Republican | Mike Frese | 41.4% | 74,558 | |
| Total Votes | 180,032 | |||
| Source: New Mexico Secretary of State | ||||
| Candidate | Vote % | Votes | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
65.3% | 13,300 | ||
| Richard Priem | 34.7% | 7,054 | ||
| Total Votes | 20,354 | |||
| Source: New Mexico Secretary of State - Official Primary Results |
||||
See also
External links
Footnotes
- ↑ Daily Kos, "Daily Kos Elections' 2020 presidential results by congressional district, for new and old districts," accessed September 15, 2022
- ↑ Fundraising by primary candidates can be found on the race's respective primary election page. Fundraising by general election candidates can be found on the race's general election page.
- ↑ Federal Election Commission, "2022 Quarterly Reports," accessed March 2, 2022
- ↑ Inside Elections also uses Tilt ratings to indicate an even smaller advantage and greater competitiveness.
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Nathan Gonzalez," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Kyle Kondik," April 19, 2018
- ↑ Amee LaTour, "Email correspondence with Charlie Cook," April 22, 2018
- ↑ Political predecessor districts are determined primarily based on incumbents and where each chose to seek re-election.
- ↑ Daily Kos Elections, "Daily Kos Elections 2020 presidential results by congressional district (old CDs vs. new CDs)," accessed May 12, 2022
- ↑ Cook Political Report, "The 2022 Cook Partisan Voting Index (Cook PVI℠)," accessed February 6, 2023
- ↑ 11.0 11.1 11.2 New Mexico Scretary of State ,"2016 Primary Election Contest/Candidate List," accessed February 3, 2016 Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; name "filed" defined multiple times with different content - ↑ Candidates are listed by party and alphabetically within each party.
= candidate completed the